Thursday, July 19, 2012
I Am Schocked!
June 6, 2012
European politicians have announced that they have found a way to keep the banquet going for a while longer. Isn't that what politicians are supposed to do: keep kicking the can down the road past the next election?)
They are in the process of putting together a program to refinance Spain's banks through European guaranteed loans. Not recapitalize the banks but get them refinanced. According to the press reports, Germany will agree to this (it can't be done without German guarantees); and Spain will agree because they will not impose an austerity program on them like they forced on Greece.
When is this supposed to happen? After the banks are audited, they expect a package ready by the beginning of July. Will this actually happen? Who knows but there is great pressure on Germany, even Tim Geithner is telling Europe to do something (and it not to pay taxes.) Also, for a small kick down the road and more time, the short-term costs to Germany may be less than the long-term costs.
Maybe they can even get help form the U.S. Many Keynesian economists are telling Bernanke to help. Even Steve Liesman of CNBS called for the US to help bail out Europe.
The rhetoric is beginning to change here also from "we're done" to more stimulus and money printing. Isn't that what politicians are suppose to do? Yesterday in the Wall Street Journal, Jon Hilsenrath wrote an article about how the Fed may now be ready to be more accommodative (Federal Reserve information is often leaked through Jon). He indicated it could be a short-term extension of the "Twist" program while they wait for more negative economic news or maybe direct purchase of bonds. Timing could be June20 meeting or maybe August depending on how they see the economy performing.
Are you shocked?
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